I will watch 75+/-15 movies I haven't seen before in 2016 (i.e. I will have 1064-1094 IMDb votes on 2017-01-01, since I'm starting this year at 1004).

Created by WilliamKiely on 2016-01-04; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by WilliamKiely on 2017-01-01.

• WilliamKiely estimated 75% on 2016-01-04
• WilliamKiely said “My IMDb profile: http://www.imdb.com/user/ur12008629/” on 2016-01-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 68% on 2016-01-04
• WilliamKiely said “Note that I have averaged ~85 films/year over the last 8 years, and have averaged 86 films/year in the last 1.75 years.” on 2016-01-04
• WilliamKiely said “I’d guess that the number of films I watch this year will be slightly less than years passed due to that fact that I will (presumably) be employed full time for the entirety of the year (a first for me).” on 2016-01-04
• WilliamKiely estimated 80% and said “I came to this page to lower my estimate due to believing that I was way over pace. But I just checked and it turns out I’m exactly on pace (1020 films, so 16*366/78=75).” on 2016-03-19
• EloiseRosen estimated 72% on 2016-03-19
• WilliamKiely estimated 40% and said “I don’t expect to reach 1064 films this year anymore.” on 2016-05-11
• WilliamKiely estimated 10% and said “Have stopped watching films as of late. 1028 currently.” on 2016-07-27
• WilliamKiely estimated 0% and said “1040 currently. No way I’ll watch 24 films in the next 24 days.” on 2016-12-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2016-12-07
• two2thehead estimated 40% on 2016-12-08
• WilliamKiely   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.
• WilliamKiely said “Ended 2016 with 1045 films, meaning I watched 41 movies in 2016.” on 2017-01-01