I will watch 75+/-15 movies I haven't seen before in 2016 (i.e. I will have 1064-1094 IMDb votes on 2017-01-01, since I'm starting this year at 1004).

Created by WilliamKiely on 2016-01-04; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by WilliamKiely on 2017-01-01.

  • WilliamKiely estimated 75% on 2016-01-04
  • WilliamKiely said “My IMDb profile: http://www.imdb.com/user/ur12008629/on 2016-01-04
  • JoshuaZ estimated 68% on 2016-01-04
  • WilliamKiely said “Note that I have averaged ~85 films/year over the last 8 years, and have averaged 86 films/year in the last 1.75 years.on 2016-01-04
  • WilliamKiely said “I’d guess that the number of films I watch this year will be slightly less than years passed due to that fact that I will (presumably) be employed full time for the entirety of the year (a first for me).on 2016-01-04
  • WilliamKiely estimated 80% and said “I came to this page to lower my estimate due to believing that I was way over pace. But I just checked and it turns out I’m exactly on pace (1020 films, so 16*366/78=75).on 2016-03-19
  • EloiseRosen estimated 72% on 2016-03-19
  • WilliamKiely estimated 40% and said “I don’t expect to reach 1064 films this year anymore.on 2016-05-11
  • WilliamKiely estimated 10% and said “Have stopped watching films as of late. 1028 currently.on 2016-07-27
  • WilliamKiely estimated 0% and said “1040 currently. No way I’ll watch 24 films in the next 24 days.on 2016-12-06
  • themusicgod1 estimated 49% on 2016-12-07
  • two2thehead estimated 40% on 2016-12-08
  • WilliamKiely   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.
  • WilliamKiely said “Ended 2016 with 1045 films, meaning I watched 41 movies in 2016.on 2017-01-01

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