USA will default on its debt.

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-06; known in 14 days

• Raahul_Kumar estimated 85% on 2016-01-06
• Raahul_Kumar said “I expect the debt default sooner, but this is in case financial cascade doesn’t happen in the predicted manner.” on 2016-01-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2016-01-06
• EloiseRosen estimated 1% on 2016-01-06
• PlacidPlatypus said “Are we talking a full on refusal or inability to pay, or does a brief interruption over something like a debt ceiling standoff count?” on 2016-01-06
• Raahul_Kumar said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Default_%28finance%29” on 2016-01-07
• Raahul_Kumar said “Yes that counts.Puerto Rico defaulting on its debt, Detroit on its debt, like that.” on 2016-01-07
• Raahul_Kumar said “http://www.nationaldebtclocks.org/debtclock/unitedstates” on 2016-01-07
• PseudonymousUser said “Raahul, you are conflating sovereign debt (such as US treasuries) and municipal debt (such as Detroit’s). Are you saying this prediction covers defaults of either type?” on 2016-01-10
• themusicgod1 estimated 4% on 2016-01-11
• qznc estimated 5% on 2022-01-02

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