The 750 GeV diphoton excess reported by the LHC in December 2015 will be definitively attributed to new fundamental physics by the end of 2017 by either the CMS or ATLAS collaborations according to the 5-sigma “observation” criteria.

Created by jessriedel on 2016-01-06; known on 2018-01-02; judged wrong by jessriedel on 2018-01-02.

• jessriedel estimated 9% on 2016-01-06
• jessriedel changed the deadline from “on 2018-01-01” and changed their prediction from “The 750 GeV diphoton excesa reported by the LHC in December 2015 will be definitively attributed to new fundamental physics by the end of 2017 by either the CMS or ATLAS collaborations.” on 2016-01-06
• jessriedel changed the deadline from “on 2018-01-01” and changed their prediction from “The 750 GeV diphoton excess reported by the LHC in December 2015 will be definitively attributed to new fundamental physics by the end of 2017 by either the CMS or ATLAS collaborations.” on 2016-01-06
• splorridge estimated 10% on 2016-01-08
• jessriedel   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-02.