PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

I will not watch any more of The Expanse before 2016-02-09

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2016-01-06; known on 2016-02-10; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2016-02-09.

  • PseudonymousUser estimated 100% on 2016-01-06
  • JoshuaZ estimated 96% on 2016-01-06
  • PseudonymousUser said “FWIW I’m pretty sure the 96% on my calibration graph is a result of spam bots hitting the Judge buttons on long-forgotten predictions that I can’t find without scraping all of predictionbookon 2016-01-07
  • PseudonymousUser said “Or not. I just went through all of my 0% and 100% predictions and didn’t get any of them wrong. So the calibration graph is probably just working strangely.on 2016-01-07
  • JoshuaZ said “That obvious on where my number came from? Yeah, this is the sort of thing where it would be nice if one could just scroll through all the predictions rather than just the most recent ones. on 2016-01-07
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2016-01-20
  • PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2016-02-09.