By 2021, we will have seen a spate of articles (say more than 5) discussing law enforcement's concern that self-driving cars have reduced their ability to apprehend criminals, and municipalities' concern that their revenue has dropped.

Created by coyotespike on 2016-01-07; known on 2021-12-16; judged wrong by Medea on 2021-12-31.

• coyotespike estimated 70% on 2016-01-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2016-01-07
• JoshuaZ said “See http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176663 for an extended version. ” on 2016-01-07
• jessriedel estimated 3% and said “We won’t have enough self-driving cars by then. You could consider making a version of this conditional on some indicator of self-driving car adoption reaching a certain threshhold.” on 2016-01-08
• Medea estimated 50% on 2016-01-08
• themusicgod1 estimated 85% on 2016-01-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 55% on 2016-01-10
• Medea   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-12-31.