Police scanner audio will be routinely encrypted in Boston by 2016

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-04-20; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2018-01-09.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2013-04-20
• RandomThinker changed their prediction from “Police scanner audio will start to be encrypted by 2016” on 2013-04-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2013-04-20
• Jayson Virissimo said “How do you know they don’t have encrypted channels already?” on 2013-04-21
• RandomThinker said “I was reading stories like this in the wake of the manhunt: http://www.theverge.com/2013/4/19/4243766/why-are-police-scanners-open-to-the-public They all seem to say they’re open right now, but not sure for how long.” on 2013-04-21
• Jayson Virissimo said “That article relies on a false dichotomy. Plenty of department have both encrypted channels and unencrypted channels. They usually only use them when they are doing something covertly.” on 2013-04-21
• seifip estimated 60% on 2013-04-21
• RandomThinker changed their prediction from “Police scanner audio will be encrypted in Boston by 2016” on 2013-04-21
• RandomThinker said “@jayson changed the wording slightly to clarify that this applies only if it’s standard for the police scanner audio to be encrypted, not if they have 2 channels – one encrypted one not.” on 2013-04-21
• a0c4a123f7 estimated 30% and said “Are their radios immediately programmable? are they locked into a contract with a local telecom? 8 months is a fairly short time assuming those in charge even understand the problem to begin with.” on 2013-04-22
• RandomThinker said “Looks like this one is close but not quite. It’s encrypted in Springfield http://www.masslive.com/news/index.ssf/2016/11/springfield_police_new_scanner.html” on 2018-01-09
• RandomThinker said “Also Lowell http://www.lowellsun.com/todaysheadlines/ci_29659734/crime-erupts-and-radio-channel-changes” on 2018-01-09
• RandomThinker said “Didn’t find anything specifically about Boston. So looks like no.” on 2018-01-09
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-09.