The VIX index will go above 30 before February 1, 2016

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2016-01-11; known on 2016-02-01; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-02.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 80% on 2016-01-11
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 94% and said “At 27 now, and has gone up by 2 in just 1 day. Can everyone smell Bear?” on 2016-01-11
• PseudonymousUser estimated 66% on 2016-01-12
• PseudonymousUser estimated 45% on 2016-01-13
• PseudonymousUser said “VIX down sharply. Much heteroskedascity. Wow.” on 2016-01-13
• PseudonymousUser said “VIX ended at 27.02 on Friday. Getting close again.” on 2016-01-17
• PseudonymousUser estimated 42% on 2016-01-19
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2016-01-19
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 80% and said “It’s only 22 right now, but I think this is a sucker’s rally.” on 2016-01-23
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 60% on 2016-01-25
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 40% on 2016-01-29
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 1% and said “Vix is at 20, a real bad call by me but I do expect it at 30 real soon now.” on 2016-01-31
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2016-02-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2016-02-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2016-02-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2016-02-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2016-02-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% and said “Negative rates in Japan have people lulled into a false sense of security. Even as Shanghai composite falls 1.78% today, we’re not back in panic mode yet.” on 2016-02-01
• Raahul_Kumar said “Vix is 19.98.” on 2016-02-02
• Raahul_Kumar   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-02-02.