Donald Trump will win the first four primaries/caucuses (Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Nevada).

Created by JoshuaZ on 2016-01-11; known on 2016-02-25; judged wrong by davidmanheim on 2016-02-02.

• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2016-01-11
• PipFoweraker estimated 25% on 2016-01-11
• HonoreDB estimated 25% on 2016-01-12
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 5% and said “You specified all 4, so even if he wins 3 he only has to lose one. Cruz leads Trump in Iowa according to NBC.http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/poll-neck-neck-2016-races-iowa-new-hampshire-n493361” on 2016-01-12
• Afforess estimated 33% on 2016-01-12
• danielfilan estimated 10% on 2016-01-13
• lalaithion estimated 30% on 2016-01-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 17% on 2016-01-20
• davidmanheim   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-02-02.