Sweden declares war against Norway

Created by kuudes on 2016-01-15; known on 2016-07-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-01.

  • kuudes estimated 0% on 2016-01-15
  • EloiseRosen estimated 0% on 2016-01-15
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 0% and said “I take it you wrote these to beef up your “100%” accuracy bucket?on 2016-01-17
  • JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2016-01-17
  • themusicgod1 estimated 0% on 2016-01-17
  • kuudes said “@Tapetum-Lucidum: these are real predictions, for instance in http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176776 others are more pessimistic than me, so we’ll see how needs to update will go.on 2016-01-19
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Huh, I see what you mean… I didn’t expect anyone to make their predictions >= 1%.on 2016-01-20
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 0% on 2016-01-27
  • microfed estimated 0% on 2016-01-28
  • artir estimated 0% on 2016-03-13
  • Temeraire estimated 0% on 2016-04-20
  • two2thehead estimated 0% on 2016-04-20
  • Peteris estimated 0% on 2016-05-06
  • Velizar said “Sadly it would also be ~0% if the deadline was just 1 day, or a few years. That’s why I want Predictionbook to support voting with more precision between 99% and 100%.on 2016-06-10
  • themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-01.

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