Ted Cruz will win the 2016 Republican Caucus in Iowa

Created by danielfilan on 2016-01-15; known on 2016-02-02; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2016-02-02.

• danielfilan estimated 50% on 2016-01-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 48% on 2016-01-15
• PseudonymousUser estimated 40% on 2016-01-15
• PseudonymousUser estimated 55% on 2016-01-17
• ioannes estimated 50% on 2016-01-17
• ioannes estimated 50% on 2016-01-17
• ioannes estimated 50% on 2016-01-17
• ioannes estimated 45% and said “Updating downward because of Palin’s endorsement of Trump” on 2016-01-20
• PseudonymousUser estimated 29% on 2016-01-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 42% on 2016-01-28
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2016-02-02.