North Korean government collapses in the next 5 years.

Created by sweeneyrod on 2016-01-16; known on 2021-01-16; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-01.

• sweeneyrod estimated 5% on 2016-01-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 8% on 2016-01-16
• splorridge estimated 4% on 2016-01-16
• PseudonymousUser estimated 7% on 2016-01-17
• Medea estimated 5% on 2016-01-18
• lalaithion estimated 10% on 2016-01-21
• themusicgod1 estimated 11% and said “I’m assuming that if Kim Jong-un dies/is replaced that this is considered a continuity of existing government (ie he doesn’t have to last 5 years).” on 2016-05-06
• RoryS estimated 10% on 2016-05-06
• NickN estimated 1% on 2020-08-16
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-01.