US recession in 2016.

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-17; known on 2017-01-18; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-01-18.

• Raahul_Kumar estimated 44% on 2016-01-17
• Raahul_Kumar said “ Junk Bonds Signal 44% Recession Risk in 2016, Fridson Sayshttp://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-12/junk-bonds-signal-44-chance-of-recession-in-2016-fridson-says” on 2016-01-17
• PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2016-01-17
• Raahul_Kumar changed the deadline from “on 2016-01-17” on 2016-01-18
• ren estimated 40% on 2016-01-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 32% on 2016-01-20
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 50% and said ““50% of an average U.S. recession is already priced into the S&P 500,” wrote Adam Parker, Morgan Stanleyhttp://www.cnbc.com/2016/01/19/street-this-says-a-50-50-chance-of-a-recession.html” on 2016-01-21
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 60% and said “We are teetering on edge of recession, US CEOs warnhttp://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/50843369.cms” on 2016-02-04
• Temeraire estimated 35% on 2016-02-12
• PseudonymousUser estimated 45% and said “Nah, I think we’ll be fine until 2018 or so.” on 2016-02-15
• Raahul_Kumar said “Why U.S. is vulnerable to recessionhttp://www.cbsnews.com/news/why-the-u-s-is-vulnerable-to-a-recession/Recession, if history’s a guidehttp://www.cnbc.com/2016/02/12/recession-might-be-in-the-cards-if-historys-a-guide-analyst.html” on 2016-02-15
• Raahul_Kumar said ““100% certainty” of a recession between now and 2018, President of Fosler Group Gail Fosler http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/51078284.cms” on 2016-02-21
• Raahul_Kumar said “4 states — Alaska, North Dakota, West Virginia and Wyoming — are in a recession, and 3 others are at risk http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-22/recession-already-reality-in-spots-from-west-virginia-to-wyoming” on 2016-02-24
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 70% on 2016-02-24
• InquilineKea estimated 55% on 2016-05-21
• themusicgod1 estimated 43% on 2016-05-22
• two2thehead   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-18.