At least one conviction will occur for someone involved in the West Texas plant blast before January 1, 2015

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-04-22; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2015-01-11.

• RandomThinker estimated 35% on 2013-04-22
• JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2013-04-22
• ygert estimated 20% on 2013-04-23
• Samm said “50%” on 2013-04-26
• RandomThinker said “Only thing I found: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/crime/west-texas-paramedic-sentenced-pipe-bomb-charges-article-1.1537645” on 2015-01-11
• RandomThinker said ““A former paramedic in the tiny Texas town where a fertilizer plant explosion killed 15 people was sentenced Wednesday to 21 months in prison after pleading guilty in a pipe bomb case that isn’t linked to the blast.”” on 2015-01-11
• RandomThinker said “http://www.publicintegrity.org/2014/04/23/14629/deadly-texas-fertilizer-plant-explosion-blamed-regulatory-failuresBlamed on regulatory failures!” on 2015-01-11
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-11.