PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

The S&P 500 will go below 1814 by February 1, 2016

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2016-01-21; known on 2016-02-01; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-02.

  • PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2016-01-21
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 90% and said “Shanghai composite started falling again. ” on 2016-01-21
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 95% and said “Fallen 22 points today and is at 1859.” on 2016-01-21
  • PseudonymousUser said “I wonder how dovish the fed will be this week…” on 2016-01-25
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 60% and said “1,906 right now, so it has gone in the opposite direction. Stupid stock market, make up your mind. I still expect the stock market to go grizzly, but it is acting weird right now.” on 2016-01-25
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 85% and said “Yeah, it’ll probably fall more. Shanghai composite is down 3.2% thus far on Jan 26th. Fed meeting coming up. ” on 2016-01-26
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 87% and said “Shanghai Composite down 6.4% now. Jesus. Expect a big selloff tomorrow.” on 2016-01-26
  • Raahul_Kumar said “Weird, it has rallied instead, although I expect everyone to go apeshit when they find out 2015 GDP growth was only 2.1%.” on 2016-01-26
  • daniel74f estimated 55% on 2016-01-27
  • daniel74f estimated 45% on 2016-01-29
  • davidmanheim estimated 10% on 2016-01-29
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 40% and said “1893 right now, so chances are this rally will last 3 days.” on 2016-01-29
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 20% and said “1940, market is still irrationally ebullient or ignorant. ” on 2016-01-29
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 5% and said “Japan announced negative interest rates. That gave people some false hope. We may not fall by then. ” on 2016-01-30
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2016-01-30
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2016-01-30
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2016-01-30
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 10% on 2016-01-30
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2016-01-30
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 13% on 2016-01-30
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2016-01-30
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2016-01-30
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 5% and said “Tape you’ve gone crazy, why so many posts?While the market could crash suddenly, 2 days is likely to last.” on 2016-01-30
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 7% on 2016-01-30
  • Raahul_Kumar said “S&P is at 1,939.” on 2016-02-02
  • Raahul_Kumar   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-02-02.