The S&P 500 will go below 1814 by February 1, 2016

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2016-01-21; known on 2016-02-01; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-02.

  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 70% on 2016-01-21
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% and said “Shanghai composite started falling again. on 2016-01-21
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 95% and said “Fallen 22 points today and is at 1859.on 2016-01-21
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “I wonder how dovish the fed will be this week…on 2016-01-25
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 60% and said “1,906 right now, so it has gone in the opposite direction. Stupid stock market, make up your mind. I still expect the stock market to go grizzly, but it is acting weird right now.on 2016-01-25
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 85% and said “Yeah, it’ll probably fall more. Shanghai composite is down 3.2% thus far on Jan 26th. Fed meeting coming up. on 2016-01-26
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 87% and said “Shanghai Composite down 6.4% now. Jesus. Expect a big selloff tomorrow.on 2016-01-26
  • Raahul_Kumar said “Weird, it has rallied instead, although I expect everyone to go apeshit when they find out 2015 GDP growth was only 2.1%.on 2016-01-26
  • daniel74f estimated 55% on 2016-01-27
  • daniel74f estimated 45% on 2016-01-29
  • davidmanheim estimated 10% on 2016-01-29
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 40% and said “1893 right now, so chances are this rally will last 3 days.on 2016-01-29
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 20% and said “1940, market is still irrationally ebullient or ignorant. on 2016-01-29
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 5% and said “Japan announced negative interest rates. That gave people some false hope. We may not fall by then. on 2016-01-30
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 5% on 2016-01-30
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 5% on 2016-01-30
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 5% on 2016-01-30
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 10% on 2016-01-30
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 5% on 2016-01-30
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 13% on 2016-01-30
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 5% on 2016-01-30
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 5% on 2016-01-30
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 5% and said “Tape you’ve gone crazy, why so many posts?While the market could crash suddenly, 2 days is likely to last.on 2016-01-30
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 7% on 2016-01-30
  • Raahul_Kumar said “S&P is at 1,939.on 2016-02-02
  • Raahul_Kumar   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-02-02.

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