US will not get involved in any new major war with death toll of > 100 US soldiers 2016

Created by JoshuaZ on 2016-01-26; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2017-01-01.

• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2016-01-26
• JoshuaZ said “Coming from http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/01/25/predictions-for-2016/” on 2016-01-26
• daniel74f estimated 45% on 2016-01-27
• Michael Dickens estimated 75% on 2016-01-28
• ioannes estimated 65% on 2016-01-31
• PseudonymousUser estimated 56% on 2016-02-04
• themusicgod1 estimated 37% on 2016-11-08
• two2thehead estimated 51% on 2016-11-08
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction right on 2017-01-01.