Brokered convention.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-01-27; known on 2016-07-18; judged wrong by elephantower on 2016-07-16.

  • NathanMcKnight estimated 5% on 2016-01-27
  • davidmanheim estimated 10% and said “(Republican Convention)on 2016-01-29
  • JoshuaZ estimated 28% on 2016-01-29
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 55% and said “Because Super Tuesday.on 2016-03-02
  • Paul.David.Carr estimated 2% on 2016-07-13
  • predictit estimated 7% on 2016-07-14
  • elephantower said “The rule committee didn’t vote to unbind so this is impossibleon 2016-07-16
  • elephantower   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-16.

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