Brokered convention.
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-01-27; known on 2016-07-18; judged wrong by elephantower on 2016-07-16.
- NathanMcKnight estimated 5% on 2016-01-27
- davidmanheim estimated 10% and said “(Republican Convention)” on 2016-01-29
- JoshuaZ estimated 28% on 2016-01-29
- NathanMcKnight estimated 55% and said “Because Super Tuesday.” on 2016-03-02
- Paul.David.Carr estimated 2% on 2016-07-13
- predictit estimated 7% on 2016-07-14
- elephantower said “The rule committee didn’t vote to unbind so this is impossible” on 2016-07-16
- elephantower judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-16.