The last two candidates vying for GOP nomination will be Cruz and Rubio.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-01-27; known on 2016-07-31; judged wrong by elephantower on 2016-07-16.

  • NathanMcKnight estimated 15% on 2016-01-27
  • Michael Dickens estimated 30% on 2016-01-28
  • lalaithion estimated 5% on 2016-02-01
  • lalaithion estimated 25% on 2016-02-01
  • bnjs estimated 15% on 2016-02-01
  • bobpage said “It’s not clear what this means. Does this require everyone else to drop out before the Republican National Convention?on 2016-02-01
  • NathanMcKnight said “I mean all of the other Republican candidates will drop out before the actual nominee is chosen. Probably before the convention, but in the event of a brokered convention, maybe not…on 2016-02-08
  • JoshuaZ said “How does one judge this is some candidates don’t officially ever drop out? (e.g. Gilmore)on 2016-02-08
  • NathanMcKnight said “Hmmm….I guess I should add some kind of caveat about major candidates. Not sure how to define that either.on 2016-02-14
  • NathanMcKnight said “Any suggestions? on 2016-02-14
  • themusicgod1 estimated 8% on 2016-06-11
  • elephantower   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-16.

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