No 2016 Presidential candidate receives a majority of Electoral votes

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2016-01-30; known on 2016-11-09; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-11-09.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 6% on 2016-01-30
• PseudonymousUser said “http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/faq.html#no270” on 2016-01-30
• lalaithion estimated 2% on 2016-02-01
• davidmanheim estimated 4% and said “This would probably mean there was a strong third party candidacy; unlikely, but we’ll see how Trump reacts.” on 2016-02-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 3% and said “Needs a strong third party that actually manages to get electoral votes. ” on 2016-02-02
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-08-21
• PseudonymousUser said “47%???” on 2016-08-21
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2016-08-21
• NathanMcKnight estimated 20% and said “It’s happened 5 times since 1936. That’s 20% of elections, and most of those were in the last 20 years. ” on 2016-08-25
• NathanMcKnight estimated 30% and said “Sorry, 6 times. …and I did the math wrong too! 1948: Truman/Barkley 49.55% 1960: Kennedy/Johnson 49.72% 1968: Nixon/Agnew 43.42%1992: Clinton/Gore 43.01% 1996: Clinton/Gore 49.23% 2000: Bush/Cheney 47.87% ” on 2016-08-25
• NathanMcKnight said “Hopefully I did it right that time!” on 2016-08-25
• PseudonymousUser said “This is about Electoral votes, not the popular vote” on 2016-08-26
• elephantower estimated 3% on 2016-08-26
• NathanMcKnight estimated 6% and said “Agh! Doh. ” on 2016-08-27
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.