Leo wins an Academy Award.

Created by Michael Dickens on 2016-01-31; known on 2016-02-29; judged right by Sniffnoy on 2016-02-29.

• Michael Dickens estimated 70% on 2016-01-31
• Michael Dickens estimated 90% and said “Looked at some more evidence and it definitely seems more likely than I initially thought, e.g. he won SAG award, and SAG winners almost always go on to win the Oscar.” on 2016-01-31
• PseudonymousUser estimated 89% on 2016-01-31
• leowhiterussian estimated 70% on 2016-02-01
• lalaithion estimated 60% on 2016-02-01
• Waring estimated 90% on 2016-02-01
• Pradeep_Kumar estimated 80% on 2016-02-12
• themusicgod1 estimated 52% on 2016-02-22
• cinder estimated 75% on 2016-02-25
• Sniffnoy   judged this prediction right on 2016-02-29.