PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

I will be re-hired by the end of the month.

Created by Lissy on 2016-02-02; known on 2016-02-29; judged right by Lissy on 2016-02-29.

  • Lissy estimated 90% on 2016-02-02
  • tedks estimated 33% and said “calibration arbitrage” on 2016-02-23
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 10% and said “Unlikely to happen on the last day of the prediction, could have happened earlier if it was going to.” on 2016-02-28
  • Lissy   judged this prediction right on 2016-02-29.