A US state (other than Florida) will declare at least a county-wide state of emergency due to the Zika virus before June of 2016

Created by unexpectedEOF on 2016-02-04; known on 2016-06-01; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-02.

• unexpectedEOF estimated 75% on 2016-02-04
• davidmanheim estimated 50% on 2016-02-05
• unexpectedEOF   judged this prediction right on 2016-02-16.
• unexpectedEOF said “http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/13/us/hawaii-governor-zika-emergency/” on 2016-02-16
• davidmanheim   judged this prediction unknown on 2016-02-17.
• davidmanheim said ““Due to the Zika Virus” implies that it’s due to the Zika virus, not primarily due to Dengue, as the proclamation makes clear; http://governor.hawaii.gov/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/160212_EmergencyProclamation_Dengue.pdf.” on 2016-02-17
• unexpectedEOF said “I’ll grant that. Dengue gets more of the mentions in that document, though Zika is certainly in one of the "whereas"s. ” on 2016-02-18
• unexpectedEOF said “I guess technically Puerto Rico beat Hawaii to anything remotely like a Zika declaration, but PR isn’t technically a state: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-zika-puertorico-idUSKCN0VE250 ” on 2016-02-18
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 20% and said “You’ve only left a few months in the year for it to happen. You should have said 2016, then it would have been much more likely.” on 2016-03-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2016-03-29
• themusicgod1 estimated 58% on 2016-04-14
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-02.