The 2016 Iowa GOP Caucus result does not get overturned/revised such that Trump takes first place.

Created by ioannes on 2016-02-05; known on 2016-09-16; judged right by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-16.

• ioannes estimated 90% on 2016-02-05
• JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2016-02-05
• splorridge estimated 95% on 2016-02-05
• davidmanheim estimated 99% on 2016-02-05
• Temeraire estimated 98% on 2016-02-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 100% and said “If it hasn’t happened yet, it isn’t going to happen. ” on 2016-02-14
• PseudonymousUser estimated 100% on 2016-02-22
• themusicgod1 estimated 58% on 2016-05-06
• Bruno Parga estimated 99% on 2016-07-31
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction right on 2016-09-16.