I will win my bet with Huw Price that 2/3rds of a panel of three physicists will assign less than 50% credence to cold fusion or other new-physics energy production by Andrea Rossi/Industrial Heat or Robert Godes/Brillouin Energy on New Year's Eve 2018.

Created by CarlShulman on 2016-02-09; known on 2019-01-31; judged right by CarlShulman on 2019-06-26.

• CarlShulman estimated 99% on 2016-02-09
• JoshuaZ said “Who is on the panel? ” on 2016-02-09
• CarlShulman said “JoshuaZ: https://www.facebook.com/carl.shulman.3/posts/10102579303397111” on 2016-02-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 98% on 2016-02-09
• danielfilan estimated 99% on 2016-02-10
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% and said “Die cold fusion die” on 2016-02-11
• CarlShulman   judged this prediction right on 2019-06-26.