I will win my bet with Huw Price that 2/3rds of a panel of three physicists will assign less than 50% credence to cold fusion or other new-physics energy production by Andrea Rossi/Industrial Heat or Robert Godes/Brillouin Energy on New Year's Eve 2018.
- CarlShulman estimated 99% on 2016-02-09
- JoshuaZ said “Who is on the panel? ” on 2016-02-09
- CarlShulman said “JoshuaZ: https://www.facebook.com/carl.shulman.3/posts/10102579303397111” on 2016-02-09
- JoshuaZ estimated 98% on 2016-02-09
- danielfilan estimated 99% on 2016-02-10
- Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% and said “Die cold fusion die” on 2016-02-11
- CarlShulman judged this prediction right on 2019-06-26.
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