By 2030, Taiwan will be a part of China, without being a war.

Created by danpop on 2016-02-11; known on 2030-01-01

  • danpop estimated 60% on 2016-02-11
  • kuudes said “How will this be measured? By some interpretations it could be true already (the legal situation is hairy).on 2016-02-11
  • Temeraire estimated 20% and said “Assuming this means they actually administer Taiwanon 2016-02-11
  • JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2016-02-12
  • Houshalter estimated 1% and said ““In the new millennium, polls consistently found 70% to 80% of all Taiwanese opposed to unification. Immediate unification is supported by only about 2% and endorsed by none of the major political parties.”on 2016-02-12
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 20% and said “If China could consistently get Taiwan to do their bidding, it would be done covertly. No reason for China to even want actual unification, even if they claim to. (And this is to say nothing of Taiwan’s opposition, which will be permanent.)on 2016-02-15
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 13% on 2016-02-15
  • leo_gri estimated 6% on 2016-02-27
  • two2thehead estimated 10% on 2016-06-18
  • NickN estimated 5% on 2020-08-19
  • n99 estimated 0% on 2022-10-28

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