Jane Kelly is nominated to replace Scalia.
- NathanMcKnight estimated 20% on 2016-02-14
- danielfilan estimated 10% on 2016-02-15
- JoshuaZ estimated 8% on 2016-02-16
- danielfilan estimated 40% on 2016-03-03
- JoshuaZ estimated 34% on 2016-03-03
- NathanMcKnight said “What caused the turnaround, Joshua?” on 2016-03-07
- JoshuaZ said “Initial estimate was a little over base-rate given her current position. Reports that Kelly was being vetted and some pointers to the political advantages of her nomination causd the increase. ” on 2016-03-07
- NathanMcKnight said “Ah, yes. I see she’s been in the news lately. ” on 2016-03-07
- two2thehead judged this prediction wrong on 2017-02-02.
- two2thehead said ““Trump picks Neil Gorsuch as nominee for Supreme Court” Source: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-38813137 ” on 2017-02-02
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