There will be at least nine more gravitational wave detections announced in 2016

Created by splorridge on 2016-02-14; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by splorridge on 2017-01-01.

• splorridge estimated 32% on 2016-02-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 38% on 2016-02-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 40% on 2016-02-16
• themusicgod1 estimated 11% and said “should have happened by nowhttp://www.scientificamerican.com/article/gravitational-waves-from-black-hole-megamergers-are-weaker-than-predicted/” on 2016-04-26
• splorridge said “Correct me if I’m wrong, but that article seems to be talking about supermassive black hole mergers. Smaller mergers, like the first result released, could be more common.” on 2016-05-05
• splorridge said “Although I am a little concerned I’ve not heard anything. Perhaps they won’t announce any new detections until they do a full data release, which might not be 2016 at all.” on 2016-05-05
• splorridge estimated 17% on 2016-06-16
• splorridge estimated 10% on 2016-11-09
• splorridge   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.