Another supreme court justice will die during Obama's presidency.

Created by jesselevine on 2016-02-17; known on 2017-01-20; judged wrong by Faceh on 2017-01-20.

• jesselevine estimated 1% on 2016-02-17
• Medea estimated 5% on 2016-02-17
• PseudonymousUser said “Does it count if they resign a day before they die?” on 2016-02-17
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2016-02-18
• jesselevine said “Yes” on 2016-02-18
• Waring estimated 25% and said “Using UK figures here: http://www.medicine.ox.ac.uk/bandolier/booth/Risk/dyingage.html, I calculate 30% probability for at least one justice dying, reduced to account for high-income justices vs. average. (And calculations may be off).” on 2016-02-22
• JoshuaZ estimated 18% on 2016-02-22
• jesselevine estimated 5% and said “RE: Waring’s comment” on 2016-02-22
• themusicgod1 estimated 9% on 2017-01-17
• Faceh estimated 1% on 2017-01-17
• Faceh   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-20.