No single GOP candidate will get >50% of delegates, and a brokered convention will ensue.

Created by jesselevine on 2016-02-17; known on 2016-06-16; judged wrong by jesselevine on 2016-06-16.

• jesselevine estimated 57% on 2016-02-17
• davidmanheim estimated 10% and said “I’m changing my prior opinion, based on the fact that states voting on March 15, 2016, or later will award their delegates on a winner-take-all basis.” on 2016-02-18
• jesselevine estimated 50% and said “Updates prediction based on tonight’s results” on 2016-02-21
• JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2016-02-21
• jesselevine estimated 35% and said “Updated prediction following Jeb’s campaign suspension ” on 2016-02-21
• Andrew MacFie estimated 10% on 2016-02-21
• mrmrpotatohead estimated 43% and said “http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/184666” on 2016-03-23
• Sniffnoy estimated 20% on 2016-04-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 32% on 2016-04-04
• Paul.David.Carr estimated 35% on 2016-06-03
• lugita15 estimated 10% on 2016-06-04
• jesselevine   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-06-16.