Bernie Sanders will run as a third party/independent if he does not win the Democratic Nomination.

Created by Faceh on 2016-02-20; known on 2016-09-01; judged wrong by Faceh on 2016-07-12.

• Faceh estimated 10% on 2016-02-20
• splorridge estimated 3% on 2016-02-20
• PseudonymousUser estimated 6% on 2016-02-21
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2016-02-21
• Sniffnoy estimated 1% on 2016-02-29
• mrmrpotatohead estimated 0% and said “http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/entry/bernie-sanders-independent_us_55ba86e7e4b06363d5a1742b?section=australia” on 2016-03-23
• jesselevine estimated 1% and said “Rounding up, also considered Michael Bloomberg’s justification for not running in my prediction. ” on 2016-03-23
• ioannes estimated 2% on 2016-04-19
• JoshuaZ estimated 4% and said “Updating based on general tone and vehemence that the Democratic campaign is moving towards. ” on 2016-04-19
• Faceh   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-12.