Michael Bloomberg wins the 2016 presidential election.
Created by jesselevine on 2016-02-21; known on 2016-11-09; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09.
- jesselevine estimated 1% on 2016-02-21
- JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2016-02-21
- JoshuaZ said “Very close to rounding up to 1% but not quite. ” on 2016-02-21
- PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2016-02-21
- PseudonymousUser estimated 7% on 2016-02-21
- splorridge estimated 0% on 2016-02-21
- Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2016-02-21
- PseudonymousUser estimated 5% and said “Updating. If it was Trump vs Sanders, maybe Bloomberg would actually have a decent chance.” on 2016-02-22
- themusicgod1 estimated 5% on 2016-02-22
- HonoreDB estimated 1% on 2016-02-27
- jesselevine estimated 0% and said “goo.gl/GTdJmm” on 2016-03-08
- Raahul_Kumar judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-08.
- Raahul_Kumar said “As in the link cited, Bloomberg stated he won’t run.” on 2016-03-08
- jesselevine said “Correct. I just kept it open in the extremely unlikely event that he changed his mind (perhaps if other candidates were unable to continue running)” on 2016-03-08
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction unknown on 2016-03-08.
- JoshuaZ said “Let’s keep this as unknown for now. He could still change his mind. ” on 2016-03-08
- NathanMcKnight estimated 2% on 2016-03-08
- NathanMcKnight estimated 1% on 2016-03-08
- PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2016-03-10
- themusicgod1 judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.