No terrorist attack in the USA will kill > 100 people during 2016
Created by Temeraire on 2016-02-22; known on 2017-01-01; judged right by leo_gri on 2017-01-01.
- Temeraire estimated 95% on 2016-02-22
- Temeraire said “http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/01/25/predictions-for-2016/” on 2016-02-22
- PseudonymousUser said “Duplicate of http://predictionbook.com/predictions/114690” on 2016-02-22
- PseudonymousUser said “Er sorry I should really read first” on 2016-02-22
- PseudonymousUser said “http://predictionbook.com/predictions/176799” on 2016-02-22
- Temeraire said “Yup, sorry. I was actuallu just abiut to delete this onr. Is there an easy way to search which predictions have already been made?” on 2016-02-22
- PseudonymousUser said “The search box above, but it doesn’t really work because of https://github.com/tricycle/predictionbook/issues/78” on 2016-02-22
- leo_gri estimated 92% on 2016-02-27
- themusicgod1 estimated 96% on 2016-03-02
- leo_gri judged this prediction right on 2017-01-01.