Guantanamo Bay detention facility to close before year end.

Created by jesselevine on 2016-02-23; known on 2016-12-31; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-31.

• jesselevine estimated 65% on 2016-02-23
• themusicgod1 estimated 9% and said “Lame duck president who doesn’t have the guts to close it.” on 2016-02-23
• PseudonymousUser said “http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/23/politics/guantanamo-bay-obama-prison-closure-plan/ http://www.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/GTMO_Closure_Plan_0216.pdf” on 2016-02-23
• splorridge estimated 5% on 2016-02-23
• Temeraire estimated 25% and said “Republicans have little to gain from cooperating. Main uncertainty is if he can do it unilaterally. ” on 2016-02-24
• JoshuaZ estimated 32% on 2016-02-24
• PseudonymousUser estimated 24% on 2016-02-25
• Medea estimated 20% on 2016-02-26
• Andrew MacFie estimated 9% on 2016-02-28
• Sniffnoy estimated 10% on 2016-02-29
• jesselevine said ““Lame duck president who doesn’t have the guts to close it” is a premature statement that really just exposes your major bias in this prediction."” on 2016-03-08
• NathanMcKnight estimated 5% on 2016-03-08
• NathanMcKnight said “It’s been blocked for so long, that won’t change now. Obama can’t do it without congress.” on 2016-03-08
• jesselevine said “I stand by my original prediction. Disappointed in the obvious politicization of others’ estimation, ruining PB altogether. ” on 2016-03-16
• NathanMcKnight said “jesselevine: Thinking something unlikely is not the same as “politicization”. I want it to close. But sadly, it almost certainly won’t. That’s just realism. Nothing political about it.” on 2016-03-22
• jesselevine said “Fair enough, though was really referencing themusicgod’s comment; I rather people just state their predictions and not their excessive opinions. Everyone here obviously has a some degree of bias and making it more evident doesn’t help” on 2016-03-23
• mrmrpotatohead estimated 0% on 2016-03-23
• NathanMcKnight said “jesselevine: I agree. I think we should avoid biassing others with our own opinion as much as possible. ” on 2016-03-24
• elephantower estimated 20% on 2016-07-02
• themusicgod1 said “http://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2016/dec/30/19-inmates-to-leave-u-s-prison-in-cuba-/ dropping to 40, with plans to increase” on 2016-12-31
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-12-31.