Sanders will win the Democratic nomination
Created by LawrenceNewport on 2016-02-26; known on 2016-06-14; judged wrong by LawrenceNewport on 2016-06-14.
- LawrenceNewport estimated 58% on 2016-02-26
- Elladk estimated 55% on 2016-02-26
- dw estimated 20% and said “core voter base fairly static, easy to scaremonger against his policies, losing momentum at crucial time, superdelegates present a potential problem” on 2016-02-26
- spinkley estimated 20% and said “Teenagers are lazy” on 2016-02-26
- Scamlobetlandra estimated 30% and said “Still a fading but outside chance it could happen.” on 2016-02-26
- Medea estimated 40% on 2016-02-26
- HonoreDB estimated 25% on 2016-02-27
- Andrew MacFie estimated 20% on 2016-02-28
- themusicgod1 estimated 32% on 2016-02-29
- brslvrsl estimated 20% on 2016-02-29
- NathanMcKnight estimated 10% on 2016-02-29
- sflicht estimated 5% on 2016-03-01
- JoshuaZ said “Note copy of http://predictionbook.com/predictions/104635 ” on 2016-03-01
- Raahul_Kumar estimated 29% and said “HC has 1027 delegates. BS has 427. I know who’s feeling the Bern right now.http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results” on 2016-03-03
- Raahul_Kumar said “I have brought his chances up considerably since I gave him 0% last year.” on 2016-03-03
- Jenson estimated 18% and said “That’s why you don’t pick 0%.” on 2016-03-03
- commercecat estimated 10% on 2016-03-03
- Raahul_Kumar said “HC has 1027 delegates. BS has 427.http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results” on 2016-03-04
- ioannes estimated 5% on 2016-03-06
- jollybard estimated 30% on 2016-03-09
- PseudonymousUser estimated 15% on 2016-03-10
- awesomemathlete estimated 25% on 2016-03-11
- Paul.David.Carr estimated 20% on 2016-04-29
- mbohler62 estimated 55% on 2016-04-30
- sflicht estimated 2% on 2016-04-30
- Jenson estimated 3% on 2016-04-30
- Paul.David.Carr estimated 24% on 2016-05-04
- Paul.David.Carr estimated 35% on 2016-06-03
- jfietz estimated 5% on 2016-06-04
- lugita15 estimated 10% on 2016-06-04
- elephantower estimated 0% on 2016-06-08
- bendini estimated 10% on 2016-06-12
- LawrenceNewport judged this prediction wrong on 2016-06-14.
- LawrenceNewport said “My enthusiasm for a Trump v Sanders Presidential run blinded me it seems!” on 2016-06-14