3 billion Android users at any point in 2016

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-03-02; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by bendini on 2017-01-01.

• themusicgod1 estimated 75% on 2016-03-02
• themusicgod1 said “including not just ‘30 day users’ but also those who merely use an android for their own use at least once (ie not just borrow a friend’s android to make a call) in the year. ” on 2016-03-02
• themusicgod1 said “This includes platforms like Blackberry that have android marketplaces/virtual machines/windows phone with android layers… anything that is functionally android.” on 2016-03-02
• bendini estimated 20% and said “underconfident because I don’t know what stats you are using, 2% chance if you assume 85% of these are android http://www.statista.com/statistics/330695/number-of-smartphone-users-worldwide/” on 2016-03-04
• themusicgod1 said “phones aren’t the only things that run android. kindles are android…you can get android on desktop/laptop…on watches…it’s kind of everywhere.” on 2016-03-07
• themusicgod1 said “Passed 2 billion in march apparently. Exponential growth suggests this is likely but not guaranteed http://www.itechpost.com/articles/18907/20160521/android-achieves-over-2-billion-users-chrome-support-later-this-year.htm ” on 2016-10-04
• bendini said “Only thing I can find is 3bn alledged google installs on all OSes in an obscure 3rd party press release, although it only shows 1bn in the play store, total android smartphones is ~2.2bn, other devices don’t make up the other 800m.” on 2017-01-01
• bendini   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.