In the 2016 US Presidential election, at least one Republican candidate will be publicly in favor of gay marriage and will be successful enough in the primary to get multiple delegates.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2013-04-24; known on 2016-09-15; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-07-27.

• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2013-04-24
• JoshuaZ changed their prediction from “In the 2016 US Presidential election, at least one Republican candidate will be publicly in favor of gay marriage and will besuccessful enough in the primary to get multiple delegates.” on 2013-04-24
• Cy Fleming estimated 50% on 2013-04-25
• RobertLumley estimated 65% on 2013-04-30
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-27.
• Bruno Parga said “At best, the candidates (Trump, Cruz, Rubio and Kasich) said they wouldn’t fight the Supreme Court decision that legalized gay marriage.” on 2016-07-27