An element will be discovered with atomic number of 119 or greater before January 1, 2030

Created by JoshuaZ on 2013-04-25; known on 2030-01-01

• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2013-04-25
• JoshuaZ said “An element is discovered about once a decade or so. Primary uncertainty comes from this trend potentially breaking down. ” on 2013-04-25
• RandomThinker estimated 45% and said “This sort of thing seems to be slowing. I expect if discovered, more likely to be non US scientist than US scientists.” on 2013-04-25
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 60% on 2013-04-25
• Tuxedage estimated 70% on 2013-04-25
• Mati estimated 77% on 2014-02-12
• adbge estimated 50% on 2014-02-12
• themusicgod1 estimated 58% on 2016-05-02