PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

Establishment Republicans split from GOP and start a third party.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-03-05; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-08.

  • NathanMcKnight estimated 20% on 2016-03-05
  • NathanMcKnight said “Specifically, at least three or four former prominent Republican leaders (senators, RNC members, pundits, etc) leave the Republican party to start a new party under a different name.” on 2016-03-05
  • themusicgod1 estimated 4% on 2016-03-06
  • splorridge estimated 5% on 2016-03-06
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 15% on 2016-08-03
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-08.