Boko Haram will be defeated this year.
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-06; known on 2016-12-16; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2016-12-25.
- Raahul_Kumar estimated 95% on 2016-03-06
- Raahul_Kumar said ““Their supply routes are blocked,” said Brigadier General Rabe Abubakar, Nigerian military. “They’re hungry.”http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/boko-haram-falls-victim-to-a-crisis-it-created/article8319012.ece?w=alauto” on 2016-03-06
- Raahul_Kumar said “http://www.themontserratreporter.com/boko-haram-largely-defeated-chibok-girls-will-be-rescued-buratai/” on 2016-03-06
- PlacidPlatypus said “What constitutes defeat?” on 2016-03-07
- jesselevine estimated 5% on 2016-03-08
- Raahul_Kumar said “Loss of all territory they hold today.http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/africaandindianocean/nigeria/11339781/Map-Boko-Haram-territory-in-Nigeria.html” on 2016-03-08
- jesselevine said “You mean loss of all territory they control altogether? What if they migrate” on 2016-03-08
- Raahul_Kumar said “Information minister Lai Mohammed"The Boko Haram insurgency has been massively decimated.http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/03/interview-nigeria-measure-boko-haram-160319152934154.html” on 2016-03-20
- Raahul_Kumar said “Nigerian Military Says It Rescued More Than 800 Hostages From Boko Haramhttp://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/03/25/471886589/nigerian-military-says-it-rescued-more-than-800-hostages-from-boko-haram” on 2016-03-27
- Osuniev estimated 35% on 2016-11-21
- themusicgod1 estimated 49% and said “https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/09/two-female-suicide-bombers-kill-at-least-30-at-nigerian-market still active enough to bomb today” on 2016-12-09
- two2thehead estimated 40% on 2016-12-09
- two2thehead said “Close but no cigar.” on 2016-12-24
- two2thehead said “The Nigerian army has driven Boko Haram militants from the last camp in their Sambisa forest stronghold, President Muhammadu Buhari has said. “The terrorists are on the run and no longer have a place to hide,” Mr Buhari said in a statement.” on 2016-12-24
- two2thehead said “Source: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-38427462” on 2016-12-24
- two2thehead said “Assuming the above link refers to loss of all territory, then this came just eight days after the known on date. [2016-12-16-12:00:00UTC] ” on 2016-12-24
- two2thehead said “I’m going to let this ‘stay’/wait for more information/a second opinion before I mark this wrong. If anyone else agrees with my reasoning feel free to mark this as wrong.” on 2016-12-24
- two2thehead judged this prediction wrong on 2016-12-25.
- two2thehead said “Judged wrong for the reasons mentioned above.” on 2016-12-25
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