Bachar el Assad will lose power before the end of 2016

Created by leo_gri on 2016-03-06; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2017-01-01.

• leo_gri estimated 6% on 2016-03-06
• moridinamael estimated 10% on 2016-03-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 11% on 2016-03-10
• two2thehead estimated 10% and said “Define ‘lose power’. Agree to a power-sharing deal within the Alawites in Syria? Probably. Get beaten militarily by anti-Assad forces? No. Palace Coup scenario? Maybe.” on 2016-04-20
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-11-08
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.