At least one senator or representative to change parties before the election.

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-03-07; known on 2016-12-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-12-03.

• NathanMcKnight estimated 25% on 2016-03-07
• leo_gri estimated 13% and said “Assuming the bet means leaving one party to go to the other party (and not just leaving one party)” on 2016-03-21
• NathanMcKnight said “I mean leaving one party and joining another party. Not necessarily one of the “big two”. So, if somebody runs third party, that would count. ” on 2016-03-21
• kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-12-03.