No human will win at Go again against a top AI

Created by c0rw11 on 2016-03-10; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by kuudes on 2016-03-13.

  • c0rw11 estimated 95% on 2016-03-10
  • jollybard estimated 90% and said “Considering that AlphaGo is still training, that hardware is still getting better… yeah.on 2016-03-10
  • helldalgo estimated 89% on 2016-03-10
  • mtopolnik estimated 85% on 2016-03-10
  • kuudes estimated 92% on 2016-03-12
  • Houshalter estimated 90% and said “This prediction is conditional on it really being a top AI, not alphaGo’s code running on a small laptop.on 2016-03-12
  • Raahul_Kumar said “If AlphaGo is given a 9 stone handicap and made to play white, then I could see it losing. That is a huge handicap. Specify no handicap games.on 2016-03-13
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% on 2016-03-13
  • kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-13.
  • PseudonymousUser said “I don’t understand why you would put estimates on a prediction that doesn’t specify whether the human needs to win a game or a matchon 2016-03-13
  • regex said “Yeah this is a totally ambiguous prediction. If not for the prediction being immediate falsified, another ‘top AI’ could have had some major bug discovered at some later date.on 2016-03-13
  • Houshalter said “We all suck at predictions : (on 2016-03-15

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