Lee Sedol attempts suicide

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-03-12; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-01-01.

  • themusicgod1 estimated 15% on 2016-03-12
  • themusicgod1 changed the deadline from “on 2017-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Lee Sedol commits suicide” on 2016-03-12
  • themusicgod1 said “At this point I hope the government of Korea should probably have him under surveillance to make sure he doesn’t.on 2016-03-12
  • themusicgod1 said “s/should probably have/has/on 2016-03-12
  • artir estimated 1% on 2016-03-12
  • JoshuaZ estimated 0% and said “Base rate doesn’t really push this up high. on 2016-03-12
  • themusicgod1 said “No they don’t, but they are also not on people subjected to these kinds of pressures. He admitted in international press conference that his emotional state is not right. Poor guy.on 2016-03-12
  • bobpage estimated 1% and said “Assuming the deadline is fixedon 2016-03-12
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 2% on 2016-03-13
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “:(on 2016-03-13
  • danielfilan estimated 2% on 2016-03-13
  • Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “Garry Kasparov didn’t kill himself when he lost to Big Blue. Just in the last 30 minutes, Deep Forest, Stockfish handed me my own ass.on 2016-03-13
  • artir estimated 0% on 2016-03-13
  • nshepperd estimated 1% and said “Seriously? Also, this prediction needs a specified deadline.on 2016-03-13
  • JoshuaZ said “I interpreted it as having the deadline given by the end by date. on 2016-03-13
  • Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2016-03-13
  • themusicgod1 said “Win today means he’s probably got some well deserved confidence, and he claims he’s doing mentally quite well now in press conf.on 2016-03-13
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 0% and said “Yeah, even if he doesn’t win the 5th game, he’s back to his old self.on 2016-03-15
  • ChristianKl estimated 1% on 2016-03-16
  • ChristianKl estimated 1% on 2016-03-16
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 1% on 2016-03-17
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 0% on 2016-03-17
  • CarlShulman estimated 1% on 2016-03-17
  • Medea estimated 1% on 2016-03-21
  • ioannes estimated 1% on 2016-03-22
  • mrmrpotatohead estimated 0% and said “Recent news reports show Lee is keen for a rematch – hardly concomitant with this suggested response.A friend also knows Lee personally, and based on their sense of how he took the match I think this prediction is preposterous.on 2016-03-23
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 0% on 2016-04-07
  • two2thehead estimated 1% on 2016-04-20
  • two2thehead   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.

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