The fifth match with AlphaGo will go to the end game (as described by the commentators), and then AlphaGo will resign.

Created by regex on 2016-03-15; known on 2016-03-16; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-03-15.

• regex estimated 65% on 2016-03-15
• PseudonymousUser estimated 40% on 2016-03-15
• themusicgod1 estimated 48% on 2016-03-15
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “Note that you have predicted two things, a conditional probability.” on 2016-03-15
• themusicgod1   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-15.
• regex said “I was well aware of the conditional probability. I felt particularly certain about the specific scenario. What I should have done was predict with high probability it going into the end game, and a lower one for resigning. ” on 2016-03-15