Lee Sedol will win the final game against AlphaGo

Created by waveman on 2016-03-15; known on 2016-03-16; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2016-03-15.

• waveman estimated 55% on 2016-03-15
• PseudonymousUser estimated 15% on 2016-03-15
• waveman said “The question is whether he has found a systematic flaw or was he just lucky in game 4” on 2016-03-15
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% on 2016-03-15
• Houshalter estimated 45% and said “Just a basic estimate of the winrate using an uniformative prior gives 33% probability to AlphaGo, and that’s not even factoring additional information, like Sedol having improved against AG’s strategies.” on 2016-03-15
• PseudonymousUser said “Not sure I follow. There were 4 games. Lee Sedol won one.” on 2016-03-15
• themusicgod1 estimated 48% on 2016-03-15
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-15.
• Raahul_Kumar said “AlphaGo takes series 4-1.http://gadgets.ndtv.com/science/news/googles-alphago-wins-final-game-against-lee-sedol-813822” on 2016-03-15