Bernie Sanders sweeps the table tonight (Tuesday 3-15)

Created by jesselevine on 2016-03-15; known on 2016-03-16; judged wrong by jesselevine on 2016-03-16.

• jesselevine estimated 29% on 2016-03-15
• jesselevine said “(State wins, not all delegates)” on 2016-03-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2016-03-15
• JoshuaZ said “Conjunction + Fivethirtyeight gives Sanders a < 1% chance of winning Florida. I assign a decent chance there model has issues (after Michigan) but not nearly enough to make this number high. ” on 2016-03-15
• sole21000 estimated 3% on 2016-03-15
• jesselevine said “Miscalculation for me, looks like. Good call Josh ” on 2016-03-16
• jesselevine   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-16.
• JoshuaZ said “Jesselevine, well if you had made a prediction for a Clinton Sweep, I would have assigned that a pretty low prob too and looked pretty silly. So more lucky than good. ” on 2016-03-16