GiveWell and the Open Philanthropy Project will legally separate into two organizations by the end of 2016

Created by ioannes on 2016-03-23; known on 2017-01-16; judged wrong by ioannes on 2017-01-11.

• ioannes estimated 75% on 2016-03-23
• ioannes changed the deadline from “on 2016-03-23” on 2016-03-23
• Vipul Naik estimated 10% and said “Websites + employee lists fully separate.But, no board meeting approval published yet, and no formal announcement.Mid-November and December will be hectic because of top charity announcements, so split unlikely now even if ready.” on 2016-11-13
• Vipul Naik estimated 1% and said “See “GiveWell and the Open Philanthropy Project are planning to split into two organizations in the first half of 2017.” Source: http://blog.givewell.org/2016/11/28/updated-top-charities-giving-season-2016/” on 2016-11-30
• ioannes estimated 1% and said “^” on 2017-01-11
• ioannes   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-11.