Donald J Trump will pick Monica Lewinsky as his running mate.

Created by jesselevine on 2016-04-02; known on 2016-07-19; judged wrong by elephantower on 2016-07-03.

  • jesselevine estimated 0% on 2016-04-02
  • themusicgod1 estimated 41% on 2016-04-02
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2016-04-02
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 0% on 2016-04-04
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 0% and said “Lel.on 2016-04-07
  • JoshuaZ estimated 0% and said “Yeah, I should have gone with 0 at first. on 2016-04-07
  • two2thehead estimated 0% on 2016-04-07
  • Andrew MacFie estimated 2% and said “haon 2016-04-08
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2016-04-08
  • ioannes estimated 0% on 2016-04-09
  • Temeraire estimated 0% and said “#weneeddecimalson 2016-04-10
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 0% on 2016-04-11
  • PlacidPlatypus said “The end date seems a little early, no?on 2016-04-11
  • jesselevine said “It’s based on the convention on 2016-04-11
  • Peteris estimated 0% on 2016-05-06
  • lugita15 estimated 0% on 2016-06-04
  • PlacidPlatypus said “Hey remember when I said the end date seemed too early? :Pon 2016-06-16
  • elephantower estimated 1% on 2016-06-20
  • ioannes said “End date should have been July 18, date of the republican conventionon 2016-06-21
  • ioannes   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-06-24.
  • HonoreDB   judged this prediction unknown on 2016-07-01.
  • elephantower   judged this prediction right on 2016-07-01.
  • elephantower   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-01.
  • elephantower   judged this prediction unknown on 2016-07-01.
  • elephantower said “This seems like a bug: if the prediction is reverted from right/wrong to unknown, it will show up as a wrong prediction on your user pageon 2016-07-01
  • jesselevine said “Probably because ioannes incorrectly judged this prediction early. I misremembered the convention date. I don’t think you should judge an unknown prediction as wrong because of the dateon 2016-07-02
  • jesselevine changed the deadline from “on 2016-06-16on 2016-07-02
  • themusicgod1 said “indeed this is the case @elephantower https://github.com/tricycle/predictionbook/issues/100on 2016-07-02
  • elephantower   judged this prediction right on 2016-07-03.
  • elephantower said “well if this is a bug there’s really no reason to have it marked as wrong on our user pages; if Lewinsky is picked it can be reclassified thenon 2016-07-03
  • elephantower   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-03.

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