Donald J Trump will pick Monica Lewinsky as his running mate.
Created by jesselevine on 2016-04-02; known on 2016-07-19; judged wrong by elephantower on 2016-07-03.
- jesselevine estimated 0% on 2016-04-02
- themusicgod1 estimated 41% on 2016-04-02
- JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2016-04-02
- NathanMcKnight estimated 0% on 2016-04-04
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% and said “Lel.” on 2016-04-07
- JoshuaZ estimated 0% and said “Yeah, I should have gone with 0 at first. ” on 2016-04-07
- two2thehead estimated 0% on 2016-04-07
- Andrew MacFie estimated 2% and said “ha” on 2016-04-08
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2016-04-08
- ioannes estimated 0% on 2016-04-09
- Temeraire estimated 0% and said “#weneeddecimals” on 2016-04-10
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 0% on 2016-04-11
- PlacidPlatypus said “The end date seems a little early, no?” on 2016-04-11
- jesselevine said “It’s based on the convention ” on 2016-04-11
- Peteris estimated 0% on 2016-05-06
- lugita15 estimated 0% on 2016-06-04
- PlacidPlatypus said “Hey remember when I said the end date seemed too early? :P” on 2016-06-16
- elephantower estimated 1% on 2016-06-20
- ioannes said “End date should have been July 18, date of the republican convention” on 2016-06-21
- ioannes judged this prediction wrong on 2016-06-24.
- HonoreDB judged this prediction unknown on 2016-07-01.
- elephantower judged this prediction right on 2016-07-01.
- elephantower judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-01.
- elephantower judged this prediction unknown on 2016-07-01.
- elephantower said “This seems like a bug: if the prediction is reverted from right/wrong to unknown, it will show up as a wrong prediction on your user page” on 2016-07-01
- jesselevine said “Probably because ioannes incorrectly judged this prediction early. I misremembered the convention date. I don’t think you should judge an unknown prediction as wrong because of the date” on 2016-07-02
- jesselevine changed the deadline from “on 2016-06-16” on 2016-07-02
- themusicgod1 said “indeed this is the case @elephantower https://github.com/tricycle/predictionbook/issues/100” on 2016-07-02
- elephantower judged this prediction right on 2016-07-03.
- elephantower said “well if this is a bug there’s really no reason to have it marked as wrong on our user pages; if Lewinsky is picked it can be reclassified then” on 2016-07-03
- elephantower judged this prediction wrong on 2016-07-03.