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Within fifty (50) years, what is today known as the Panama Papers will be generally agreed upon to have been leaked by a US Govt operation. Similar to how the NYTimes says (but both governments deny) that Stuxnet was a joint US/Israel operation.

Created by two2thehead on 2016-04-04; known on 2066-04-05

  • two2thehead estimated 95% on 2016-04-04
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% and said “Seems unlikely. A government operation would have been far more targeted or they would have kept the info and used it. on 2016-04-04
  • themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-04-05
  • PseudonymousUser said “@JoshuaZ, It would be pretty hard for the US Government to “keep the info and use it”, when the info is something like “The royal family of Saudi Arabia is funding terrorism.” on 2016-04-07
  • PseudonymousUser said “If they want to crack down on this kind of thing, a PR victory is exactly what they need.on 2016-04-07
  • PseudonymousUser said “And turning the info from a privately known thing into a public spectacle will discourages future tax dodgers, etc.on 2016-04-07
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 4% on 2016-04-07
  • JoshuaZ estimated 3% and said “Still, some of it (like e.g. the Prime Minister of Iceland is on the take and doing exactly what he was elected not to do) could have more use. But yeah,I see the point. Updating accordingly. on 2016-04-07
  • JoshuaZ said “See also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/177845on 2016-04-07
  • aarongertler estimated 2% on 2016-04-11
  • EloiseRosen estimated 4% on 2016-04-14
  • jesselevine said “I’ll be sure to come back and check on this in 50 yearson 2016-04-14
  • trishume estimated 5% on 2016-04-16
  • two2thehead said “Retired Admiral James Stavridis told NBC News’ Cynthia McFadden that the U.S. should attack Russia’s ability to censor its internal internet traffic and expose the financial dealings of Putin and his associateson 2016-10-15
  • two2thehead said “It’s well known that there’s great deal of offshore money moved outside of Russia from oligarchson 2016-10-15
  • two2thehead said “It would be very embarrassing if that was revealed, and that would be a proportional response to what we’ve seen” in Russia’s alleged hacks and leaks targeting U.S. public opinion.on 2016-10-15
  • two2thehead said “Source: http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/cia-prepping-possible-cyber-strike-against-russia-n666636on 2016-10-15
  • two2thehead said “Posted the above to provide some evidence for their thinking and a potential reason for being responsible for the hack.on 2016-10-15