David Cameron will resign as PM due to the Panama Papers scandal in the next two weeks.

Created by splorridge on 2016-04-08; known on 2016-04-22; judged wrong by splorridge on 2016-04-22.

• splorridge estimated 20% on 2016-04-08
• Waring estimated 5% on 2016-04-08
• themusicgod1 estimated 40% on 2016-04-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2016-04-08
• Afforess estimated 10% on 2016-04-08
• Temeraire estimated 5% and said “UK prime ministers rarely resign, he doesn’t seem to have done anything very bad, and he needs to hang around to campaign for EU membership” on 2016-04-10
• Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2016-04-11
• sflicht estimated 5% on 2016-04-11
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 3% on 2016-04-11
• aarongertler estimated 1% on 2016-04-11
• EloiseRosen estimated 8% on 2016-04-13
• brslvrsl estimated 5% on 2016-04-18
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2016-04-18
• ioannes estimated 1% on 2016-04-19
• RoryS estimated 1% on 2016-04-19
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2016-04-19
• Temeraire estimated 0% on 2016-04-20
• EloiseRosen estimated 0% on 2016-04-20
• two2thehead estimated 3% on 2016-04-20
• splorridge estimated 0% on 2016-04-20
• ioannes estimated 0% on 2016-04-21
• splorridge   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-04-22.