The Libertarian Party presidential candidate will get less than 2% of the national popular vote in November.

Created by Bruno Parga on 2016-04-09; known on 2016-11-10; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-11-09.

• Bruno Parga estimated 75% on 2016-04-09
• themusicgod1 estimated 68% on 2016-04-10
• Paul.David.Carr estimated 40% on 2016-04-22
• sflicht estimated 45% on 2016-04-28
• Paul.David.Carr estimated 35% on 2016-05-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 24% and said “Both Trump and Clinton have high unfavorables. ” on 2016-05-04
• Bruno Parga estimated 40% and said “Updated due to polls.” on 2016-07-26
• NathanMcKnight estimated 15% on 2016-08-19
• Bruno Parga estimated 30% and said “Johnson’s support seem to be holding relatively steady, way above the 2% level.” on 2016-08-27
• themusicgod1 said “pretty sure I saw a 3% cited on http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/ but i’m not sure.” on 2016-11-09
• Bruno Parga said “It’ll be clearly more than 2%: http://heavy.com/news/2016/11/how-many-votes-electoral-did-gary-johnson-get-in-the-presidential-election-libertarian/” on 2016-11-09
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.